Brand noted that AI model developers with custom licenses, like Google, haven’t aggressively enforced their terms yet. However, the threat is often enough to deter adoption, he added.
“These restrictions have an impact on the AI ecosystem — even on AI researchers like me,” said Brand.
Han-Chung Lee, director of machine learning at Moody’s, agrees that custom licenses such as those attached to Gemma and Llama make the models “not usable” in many commercial scenarios. So does Eric Tramel, a staff applied scientist at AI startup Gretel.
“Model-specific licenses make specific carve-outs for model derivatives and distillation, which causes concern about clawbacks,” Tramel said. “Imagine a business that is specifically producing model fine-tunes for their customers. What license should a Gemma-data fine-tune of Llama have? What would the impact be for all of their downstream customers?”
The scenario that deployers most fear, Tramel said, is that the models are a trojan horse of sorts.
“A model foundry can put out [open] models, wait to see what business cases develop using those models, and then strong-arm their way into successful verticals by either extortion or lawfare,” he said. “For example, Gemma 3, by all appearances, seems like a solid release — and one that could have a broad impact. But the market can’t adopt it because of its license structure. So, businesses will likely stick with perhaps weaker and less reliable Apache 2.0 models.”
To be clear, certain models have achieved widespread distribution in spite of their restrictive licenses. Llama, for example, has been downloaded hundreds of millions of times and built into products from major corporations, including Spotify.
But they could be even more successful if they were permissively licensed, according to Yacine Jernite, head of machine learning and society at AI startup Hugging Face. Jernite called on providers like Google to move to open license frameworks and “collaborate more directly” with users on broadly accepted terms.
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